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China, one of the most populous nations on Earth, has experienced significant demographic shifts over the past few decades. From the legacy of its one-child policy to the current challenges of an aging population, the birth rate in China remains a crucial indicator of the country’s future economic and social health. In this article, we will explore how many babies are born in China every minute, while examining the broader trends and factors affecting birth rates, fertility, and population dynamics in the country.
Births in China: A Snapshot
As of the most recent data available from the United Nations World Population Prospects (2019), the birth rate in China is still significant, though it has been declining over the years. In 2025, the number of babies born in China every minute continues to be notable, though demographic experts predict a slower growth rate in the coming decades.
Babies Born Every Minute in China
On average, approximately 1.86 seconds pass between the birth of one child and the next in China. To put that into perspective:
- Number of people born per year in China: 16,977,980
- Number of people born per day in China: 46,515
- Number of people born per hour in China: 1,938
This means that on any given day, around 46,500 babies enter the world in China, making it one of the largest sources of new births globally.
However, it’s important to understand that the birth rate is on a downward trend. While the raw numbers are still large, the declining fertility rate presents long-term challenges for the country.
The Declining Birth Rate in China
China’s birth rate has been gradually falling since the 1970s, primarily due to government policies like the one-child policy (1979–2015) and significant societal changes, including urbanization, higher education, and evolving social norms. The country’s birth rate peaked in the 1950s but has seen steady declines since the late 20th century. As of 2023, China’s total fertility rate (TFR) stands at approximately 1.3 children per woman, which is significantly below the replacement level of 2.1.
Despite the government’s relaxation of the one-child policy in 2016 and the subsequent introduction of the three-child policy in 2021, birth rates have not increased as hoped. In fact, the birth rate per 1,000 people in China has continued to decline. According to 2024 estimates, China’s birth rate is projected to be even lower, raising concerns about an impending demographic crisis.
China’s Current Birth Rate: Key Figures
Let’s break down the key figures that define China’s birth rate in recent years:
- China’s birth rate per 1,000 people: In 2023, China’s birth rate stood at around 8.52 births per 1,000 people.
- Total fertility rate (TFR) in 2023: 1.3 children per woman, which is below the replacement level and reflects a trend of fewer children being born per family.
- Births in China in 2024: The total number of births in 2024 is expected to fall even further, potentially dipping below 16 million annually due to ongoing demographic trends and the reluctance of many young couples to have more children.
These figures are concerning for the Chinese government, as they point to a future where there may not be enough young people to support an aging population.
China’s Fertility Rate: Past, Present, and Future
China’s Fertility Rate in 2025
As we approach 2025, China’s fertility rate is expected to remain at low levels. The decline in fertility is attributed to a combination of factors, including:
1. Economic Pressures: The cost of living, housing, and education is high, particularly in urban areas, discouraging many couples from having multiple children.
2. Changing Social Norms: Many young Chinese couples prioritize their careers, personal development, and financial security over starting large families.
3. Delayed Marriages and Childbirth: The trend of later marriages and childbirth is prevalent in China, with many women choosing to focus on education and career advancement in their 20s and early 30s.
By 2025, China’s fertility rate is likely to remain below 1.5, with forecasts predicting it to stay at around 1.2 to 1.3 children per woman. This will further exacerbate the population imbalance, with fewer people entering the workforce and more elderly individuals relying on social services and pensions.
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